Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.003241 0.003619 0.004013 0.004453 0.004931 0.005434 0.006001
2024-11-03 0.002601 0.003123 0.003699 0.004378 0.005152 0.006004 0.007010
2024-11-10 0.002242 0.002840 0.003527 0.004366 0.005356 0.006482 0.007850
2024-11-17 0.001959 0.002601 0.003363 0.004324 0.005492 0.006854 0.008550
2024-11-24 0.001803 0.002492 0.003334 0.004425 0.005782 0.007399 0.009451
2024-12-01 0.001581 0.002276 0.003152 0.004316 0.005799 0.007601 0.009933
2024-12-08 0.001435 0.002144 0.003062 0.004309 0.005931 0.007939 0.010577
2024-12-15 0.001374 0.002118 0.003103 0.004468 0.006273 0.008541 0.011559
2024-12-22 0.001284 0.002045 0.003074 0.004528 0.006484 0.008975 0.012335
2024-12-29 0.001228 0.002012 0.003096 0.004653 0.006780 0.009523 0.013263
2025-01-05 0.001180 0.001989 0.003127 0.004790 0.007091 0.010094 0.014229
2025-01-12 0.001059 0.001846 0.002981 0.004671 0.007049 0.010196 0.014582
2025-01-19 0.000973 0.001753 0.002904 0.004649 0.007143 0.010486 0.015198
2025-01-26 0.000882 0.001644 0.002796 0.004577 0.007163 0.010675 0.015682
2025-02-02 0.000815 0.001568 0.002733 0.004564 0.007263 0.010971 0.016311
2025-02-09 0.000746 0.001485 0.002652 0.004521 0.007315 0.011200 0.016850
2025-02-16 0.000717 0.001466 0.002670 0.004626 0.007582 0.011731 0.017812
2025-02-23 0.000644 0.001365 0.002551 0.004513 0.007524 0.011801 0.018135
2025-03-02 0.000599 0.001309 0.002501 0.004505 0.007620 0.012090 0.018765
2025-03-09 0.000590 0.001318 0.002560 0.004670 0.007979 0.012761 0.019943
2025-03-16 0.000563 0.001291 0.002555 0.004732 0.008182 0.013208 0.020811
2025-03-23 0.000549 0.001289 0.002593 0.004862 0.008490 0.013814 0.021914
2025-03-30 0.000538 0.001291 0.002636 0.005003 0.008819 0.014454 0.023074